artaxes does something logical here, something that I wish I had done. Since what artaxes wrote is logical, it won’t convince Liberal Democrats or NeverTrumpers. artaxes’ post already has a comment that demonstrates the stubbornness resistance that some have to logic too. Nevertheless, artaxes post explains my reaction when I first heard of the riot. It was a disaster for the success of scenario #5.
There is a principle one should apply to all kinds of claims and narratives.
This principle applies especially to the claim that President Trump incited an insurrection.
The principle: The best way to determine if any given scenario is plausible, is to think it through.
By thinking a scenario through one discovers often quickly whether it is possible, plausible or highly unlikely.
Unfortunately, many people just repeat what they hear without the slightest examination.
That’s a pity because if they would do a minimal examination they could distinguish lies from truth very quickly.
So, let’s consider the following scenario:
“On January 6, 2021 President Trump incited an insurrection in order to prevent the legitimate transfer of power from happening by giving an instigating speech.”
Thinking this scenario through does not require us to determine whether Joe Biden stole the election from Donald Trump or not.
In order to keep our…
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