We live in crazy times. In The Fourth Turning, William Strauss and Neil Howe spoke of the cycles of history, and it sure looks like they were right. They observed that every four generations, about 80 years, we forget the lessons of the past and start fighting. Why? Strauss and Howe speculated that no one is alive who remembers how stupid that was the last time we went nuts.
In this country we are at each other’s throats, itching to go for our enemy’s jugular vein, even though our enemies are our fellow Americans. We are struggling with external enemies. In particular, we are arguing with China over trade issues, border disputes, and over Chinese responsibility for the Coronavirus (COVID-19).
Other nations are little different. Pick almost any nation. With a little effort you can find both internal feuds and feuds with neighbors. China, as it happens, is one of our world’s most deranged nations. China is a totalitarian state, a government with its boot on the necks of the Chinese people. That government depends upon a growing economy to pacify the Chinese people, and that economy is stumbling. To assert its legitimacy, that government also depends upon an aura of competence. Yet its handling of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has demonstrated its incompetence. Moreover, the government of China has managed to thoroughly frighten and antagonize every one its neighbors, especially another large nation, India.
INDIA CHINA: EYEBALL-TO-EYEBALL recounts recent events on the border between China and India. Is war looming between these two nations? In the immediate future? Perhaps. Thus far neither nation looks like it wants to fight. However, WWI started almost by accident. An assassin’s bullet set off a chain of events no one could stop. WWII started with a miscalculation. A tyrant, Adolf Hitler, underestimated the resolve of his opponents. That was 81 years ago.
Desperate to distract the increasingly dissatisfied people he rules, Chinese president Xi Jinping could easily do the same thing Hitler did. He could order his forces to attack, and he too could find he has enemies won’t give up. This scenario becomes especially likely if the Chinese leadership begins to discern that time is working against its drive for world domination, that those it wishes to conquer have already begun to prepare for war. Therefore, please consider reading INDIA CHINA: EYEBALL-TO-EYEBALL and some of the articles below.
- Why India and China Are Sparring (foreignpolicy.com)
- Delhi is unlikely to opt for an escalation with China that affects its economy (indianexpress.com)
- A China–India Border Clash as Beijing Aims for Regional Hegemony (nationalreview.com)
- China and India move troops as border tensions escalate (theguardian.com)
- China is reportedly adding troops on the Ladakh border and India is matching up to it (businessinsider.in)
- China-India border: Why tensions are rising between the neighbours (bbc.com)
Could the USA be dragged into a conflict between China and India? Probably. If China becomes too ambitious in its objectives, then we may have to act to protect our interests in the region. That includes supporting our allies, including India, so that China cannot intimidate them into passively accepting its domination. When we do react to Chinese aggression, China will have to decide whether or not they want to attack our military forces. In fact, it is entirely possible China may engage in brinksmanship and threaten cities in the USA.
Crazy? Sadly, people sometimes tend to be that way.