- What kind of national crises do we have the capacity to predict?
- Are there signs of trouble ahead? What signs? What kind of signs should we consider?
- Are we approaching a crisis?
The word “crisis” is a bit overused. Stick the word crisis in Google, and you will get somewhere in the neighborhood of 447,000,000 hits. So let’s make it clear this series will address an impending crisis that involves lots of people dying.
What kind of crisis? A self-inflicted crisis. Natural disasters can cause greater calamity, but they tend to surprise us because they are largely outside our control. Self inflicted disasters — human conflicts — can be more easily predicted because we cause them. To predict wars between ourselves, we just have to consider the logical consequences of our own actions. To predict human conflict, we just have to take the time to look. Then we can see the signs of how we strive against each other, often quite irrationally. Then we can see why it is rightly said that we are own worst enemies.
What sort of signs should we consider? Well, let’s consider how a supposedly peaceful society becomes roiled in conflict. What happens? Over the years doesn’t every society begin to accumulate customs, regulations, and laws that either don’t serve a purpose or actually hinder members of that society? Unfortunately, when those in power benefit from them, we find it almost impossible to terminate customs, regulations, and laws; no matter how foolish they have become. Therefore, those hindered and even shackled by wrongful customs, regulations, and laws can grow exceedingly frustrated.
Want an example? Think back to slavery and the American Civil War. Slavery is a hideous idea, but slave masters never seem to think so. Prior to the Civil War, slave masters reveled in and self-righteously defended their privilege status. Yet the anger of both slaves and those who sympathized with their plight slowly grew to a boil. When the slaves and those who sympathized with their plight reached the boiling point, and they finally acted, the “crisis” — the American Civil War — officially began. Then a divided nation began to count its dead, maimed, and wounded.
To predict a “crisis”, we do not need to count and classify endless customs, regulations, and laws. To predict a “crisis”, deadly conflict, we need only to put our finger on signs of mounting frustration and brewing anger.
So what would be proper signs of an impending crisis? Please come back to consider the following posts.
- PART 2: DECLINING LIFE EXPECTANCY
- PART 3: DECLINING ECONOMIC GROWTH
- PART 4: FAILING PUBLIC SCHOOLS
- PART 5: INCREASINGLY JAMMED TRAFFIC
Finally, let’s look a possible answer. How can “we” solve all these and so many other problems?
- PART 6: THE “MAGICAL” SOLUTION — WHAT IT IS AND WHY IT WORKS!